Asteroid October 12 where time will fall. An asteroid the size of a bus swept by last Monday at a relatively close distance from the Earth, without creating a threat of collision with it.
A large asteroid called 2012 TC4 is rapidly approaching Earth. Where will the meteorite fall if it doesn't fly by? While the attention of astronomers around the world is riveted to this celestial body, guesses are being made in the world one after another about the end of the world. Will TS4 end all life on Earth?
Asteroid 2012 TS4 - what is it? Where will it fall in October 2017 and will it fall at all?
Asteroid 2012 TC4 was most accurately studied in 2012, when it once again passed Earth. In 2015, calculations yielded shocking data: an asteroid will pass in 2017 in frightening proximity to our planet. This was reported by the portal Astwowatch, and now, with the approach of the asteroid to the orbit of the Earth, they started talking about it more often.
At the moment, its dimensions are known - approximately. According to the source, the meteorite has an elongated shape up to 40 meters in diameter. For comparison: the famous "Chelyabinsk meteorite" was 17 meters high.
The problem is that it is impossible to say for sure whether an asteroid will collide with the Earth. At the moment, astronomers have not been able to assess and study the threat thoroughly. Now it is not known what the celestial body threatening us consists of. Meanwhile, if it is a rocky meteorite with an ice core, it will burn up in the atmosphere and remain practically unnoticed. Another thing is if the space guest is a combination of space rocks and metal. In this case, the impact area will not be recognized - the shock wave and debris will cause enormous damage within a radius of tens of kilometers and a huge crater will remain at the epicenter. Then the experts will be able to study it with passion, if they are alive, of course.
According to an expert interviewed by AiF, asteroid 2012 TS4 can fly 115 thousand kilometers from Earth.
It would be possible to see such a meteorite only through a powerful infrared telescope.
The flight path of asteroid 2012 TC4 will be "tangential" from the Earth. Taking into account the trajectory, the size and the distance of the flight path from the Earth, we can say that there is nothing to worry about. The danger lies only in the fact that the "space friend" is little studied and all forecasts are made with an error.
Where will 2012 TC4 fall if it reaches Earth?- It is too early to judge this. More accurate data will appear after astronomers study the composition of the asteroid.
At the moment, the date of the maximum approach of asteroid 2012 TC4 with the Earth is October 12, 2017 at 5:41 UT.
Recall that the last large-scale incident of a meteorite collision with the Earth occurred on February 15, 2013 in Chelyabinsk. The famous "Chelyabinsk meteorite" thundered not only in Chelyabinsk, making it even more severe, but throughout the world.
For a very long time, the public was frightened and terrified by the news of the coming End of the World. Ever since ancient times, people were afraid that at one moment everything could disappear from the face of the Earth and the planet itself would be destroyed. In our time, despite the existence of new technologies and science, people also continue to be afraid of Aramgedon.
The next predictions of conspiracy theorists about the coming End of the World have appeared on the Web. This time, NASA experts said that Asretoid TS4 could destroy our planet on October 12th. Such news again sowed panic and hysteria in the social network. In their opinion, the asteroid will approach the planet, and in the event of a collision, it will destroy it.
It is worth recalling that this year, this is the fourth message about the end of humanity. In May, everyone was waiting for Armageddon due to the explosion of a nuclear collider, and in August, information about the End of the World appeared on the Web, according to the predictions of Saint Matrona. In September, the American numerologist David Mead scared the world, who assured that Nibiru would collide with the Earth. In other matters, the latter declared that a mystical force had saved the world and now, the Earth will be tormented by catastrophes for seven years.
October 12, 2017 asteroid: where it will fall, time, news
So in 2017 alone, humanity experienced three Ends of the World. This time, the church said that it makes no sense to be afraid of such news, and magicians and psychics said that some people can really tell what awaits our planet, but no one can name the exact date of Armageddon. Well, scientists reported that there will be no end of the world in 2017. The TS4 asteroid will indeed pass within 44,000 kilometers of the Earth, but there will be no collision near the planet. So you can breathe easy and live on - the end of the world is canceled again.
The Ural meteorite for some time distracted scientists from another space object - an asteroid, which is approaching the Earth at this moment. According to calculations, it will approach the minimum distance to our planet at 23:20 Moscow time. This unique event will be broadcast live on the NASA website. The asteroid will be visible to residents of Asia and Australia, as well as, possibly, some parts of Eastern Europe.
In a little more than 2 hours, the DA14 object will pass the Earth at a distance of 28 thousand kilometers - this is closer than some satellites fly. If this asteroid weighing 130 tons and 45 meters in diameter collided with our planet, the explosion would be equal to one thousand Hiroshima. There was even an assumption that the meteorite that fell in the Urals could be part of this space monster and that other, larger ones would follow it. However, most scientists do not see a connection with the DA14 asteroid and the Ural meteorite.
"As to whether we are threatened by Armageddon or not. It is now known for certain. All asteroids larger than one kilometer in diameter, which bring such a catastrophe on a large scale to the Earth, they are all known and have well-known orbits, they are all proto-catalogued and observed There is no danger from them," Lidia Rykhlova, head of the department of space astrometry at the Institute of Astronomy of the Russian Academy of Medical Sciences, assured.
While watching a large asteroid, the meteorite that fell in the Urals was overlooked. However, it was practically impossible to see it before entering the atmosphere - neither civilian observatories nor missile defense radars can do this - the size is too small and the speed is high. The military says that even if such a meteorite is found, modern air defense systems are not yet capable of destroying such objects. Already in hindsight, scientists deduced the data of a celestial body that had already fallen in the Urals - a mass of several tons, a speed of 15 kilometers per second, an angle of incidence of 45 degrees, and a shock wave power of several kilotons. At an altitude of 50 kilometers, the object collapsed into 3 parts and almost completely burned out in the atmosphere.
“No more than 10 meters in diameter, it flew at supersonic speed and therefore generated a shock wave. This shock wave caused all these destructions, people were injured not by fragments of a meteorite, but by a shock wave. Now, if a supersonic plane would pass on the same altitude, for example, God forbid over Moscow, the destruction would have been the same,” said the deputy director of the State Astronomical Institute. Sternberg Sergei Lamzin.
Any space object that has reached the Earth's atmosphere and left a trace in it is called a meteorite by scientists. As a rule, they are small in size and, moving in the air at a speed of several kilometers per second, completely burn out. And yet, about 5 tons of cosmic matter falls to Earth every day in the form of dust and fine grains of sand. Almost all space guests come to us from the so-called asteroid belt, which is located between the orbits of Mars and Jupiter.
"A kind of garbage dump in the solar system, where all the detrital material is concentrated. Collisions between asteroids occur in this belt. As a result, some fragments are formed that can acquire an orbit that intersects the Earth's orbit," said Mikhail Nazarov.
However, some scientists believe that it was not a meteorite that fell near Chelyabinsk at all. They are sure that no one will ever find any fragments, just as they did not find the fragments of the Tunguska meteorite. We are most likely talking about a cooled comet, which consists of frozen gases.
"If the nucleus of a first-generation comet invades the Earth, then it almost completely burns up in the Earth's atmosphere, and it is impossible to find any remnants on the surface. This is similar to the Tunguska phenomenon, when no remnants of the body were found, but there was a large fall of the forest over a large area and the trees were all heavily charred," said Vladislav Leonov, a researcher at the Department of Space Astrometry at the Institute of Astronomy of the Russian Academy of Sciences.
Nevertheless, the search for the remains of a meteorite near Chelyabinsk continues. At the same time, not only rescuers and scientists are looking for, now dozens of meteorite hunters have already rushed to the area of the alleged fall. The price of some of them on the black market can reach up to several thousand rubles per gram.
The Earth is waiting for another test, asteroid 2012-TC4 is approaching. October 12, 2017 is another unpredictable day in the history of our planet. At this time, the asteroid 2012TC4 will fly by in close proximity to the Earth, where it will fall, and what latest news astronomers tell us will be discussed below. It should be noted that any change in its trajectory threatens us with the end of the world.
Conspiracy theorists are talking about a new end of the world, which, according to their forecasts, will come on October 12, 2017.
This time, conspiracy theorists say, the Earth will die because of the asteroid 2012 TC4.
In 2012, the asteroid 2012 TC4 flew past our planet at a distance of 0.247 LD (Lunar Distance), which is approximately 94,800 km. Previous calculations showed that in 2017 it will fly past our planet at a distance of 0.079 LD. But there have been reports that this time around, asteroid 2014 TC4 will come within 4,000 miles of Earth. And this is an almost guaranteed collision of a celestial body with a planet.
Representatives of official science claim that the asteroid 2012 TS4 does not yet threaten the Earth, the Rsute portal writes. But they agree that if this asteroid ever crashes into our planet, it could provoke large-scale catastrophes. The consequences of the fall of this asteroid can be much more serious than the fall of the Chelyabinsk meteorite on Earth.
At the same time, when composing a scenario for the fall of such an object as 2012 TC4 to Earth, scientists admit that it can really cause an earthquake, or a volcanic eruption. It all depends on where exactly this object will fall.
Conspiracy theorists claim that 2012 TS4 will cause the end of the world. They claim that it will cause large-scale cataclysms on Earth, in which humanity will not be able to survive.
Asteroid TC4, moving at a speed of 14 kilometers per second, is predicted to approach the Earth on October 12, 2017, according to Rossiyskaya Gazeta, citing NASA. The size of the asteroid is 30 meters, which is almost twice the size of the Chelyabinsk meteorite - 19.8 meters.
October 12, 2017, doomsday: scientists do not believe in the end of the world
According to scientists, the asteroid will pass the Earth at a distance of 43,500 kilometers. Experts cannot calculate the exact distance, due to which the error can be high, but the object will approach the planet by a maximum of 6,800 kilometers, NASA said.
"We are preparing to collect data to characterize and study TC4 as well as previously observed similar objects. And this time, for the first time, we are using the approach of a celestial body to test the worldwide network for detecting and tracking asteroids. This way we can assess our ability to detect the potential threat of asteroids," - said the head of the headquarters of NASA for the observational campaign TC4 Michael Kelly.
Despite the fact that experts estimate the chances of an asteroid colliding with the Earth at 0.00055%, it is nevertheless recognized as potentially dangerous.
It is believed that in order for a space object to pose a threat, it must be at a distance from the planet no more than twenty times farther than its natural satellite.
Incredible Facts
Apocalyptic scenarios of asteroids falling on our planet for the vast majority of people are the result of the imagination of science fiction writers. However, common sense says that such an event, sooner or later, will happen.
And very soon, October 12, 2017, asteroid 2012 TC4 will pass quite dangerously close to our planet. Despite the fact that the chances of a collision with the Earth are extremely small ( about 0.00055%), such a turn of events cannot be completely ruled out.
Asteroid 2017
What is known about the 2012 asteroid TC4
July 27 and 31, and then 5th of August this year, experts from the European Space Research Agency observed an asteroid approaching Earth 2012 TS4. The observation was carried out through a complex of 8.2-meter telescopesEuropean southern observatories.
We are talking about the first observations of this small asteroid since its first discovery - that is,since October 4, 2012. At the time of the last observation, the asteroid 2012 TC4 was still very far from our planet, at a distance of about 56 million kilometers.
WithIn 2012, this TS4 could not be observed from Earth. The fact is that the apparent stellar magnitude (that is, a measure of the brightness of a celestial body) of this asteroid was 26,4 , which is very, very small (for example, for the brightest celestial bodies, including the Sun, negative values this measure).
An object with a similar magnitude to 60 billion times dimmer than the planet Saturn as seen from Earth. The asteroid is approaching at a speed 14 kilometersper second getting brighter. At the closest approach to the Earth, the apparent magnitude of the asteroid 2012 TC4 will be only 13.
Recent observations of the asteroid made it possible to clarify information about its size ( from 12 to 27 meters in diameter) and location, and enabled scientists fromCenter research near-Earth objects(CNEOS) NASA(National Aeronautics and Space Administration) to calculate its future orbit and the distance at which it will fly past our planet at the moment of closest approach to it.
The obtained results of calculations indicate that the closest approachasteroid 2012 TC4 will happen to Earth October 12 this year: the space object will fly by at a distance equal to 43500 kilometers from our planet (this is about one eighth of the distance of the moon from the earth). There are also less optimistic forecasts, which, however, are not intended to cause panic: according to them, a space object will not approach the Earth closer than a distance of 6800 kilometers.
Where will the asteroid hit on October 12?
What is interesting about this event
NASA scientists are looking forward to the upcoming asteroid flyby, planning to use the event as an opportunity. test the network of NASA observatories who are working on a planetary defense program. As part of the program for tracking potentially dangerous objects for our planet, further observations of the asteroid are planned both by NASA and other astronomers.
Michael Kelly(Michael Kelley) , head of the TC4 Asteroid Observation Program at NASA Headquarters, stressed that today the efforts of scientists are aimed at studying this asteroid in order to test the operation of the worldwide asteroid tracking network. According to him, this will allow assessing the possibility of determining a potential real threat from such space objects, as well as assessing the ability to respond.
An asteroid is approaching Earth
Is it possible to prevent the threat of collision in the future?
In order to prevent the threat of an asteroid colliding with our planet, it is necessary to detect the corresponding space object. for several years before the expected fall.
Objects diameter up to several hundred meters are unlikely to cause a global catastrophe, although they can cause significant damage when they enter infrastructure.
Another thing is asteroids with a diameter several kilometers: the fall of such an object to Earth with a high probability can lead to a global catastrophe with the subsequent mass extinction of all life.
At the moment, the activities of many planetary protection programs are reduced to the observation and identification of potentially dangerous space objects. Moreover, they began to catalog these objects back in 1947 when it was founded Minor Planet Center at the University of Cincinnati, USA.
To date, we can talk about a dozen programs that track near-Earth objects as part of a global project called "Space Security Watch" However, in reality, these programs are weakly related to each other.
It turns out that humanity today is absolutely defenseless against the threat of the fall of a large space object, which can threaten the death of all life? Alas, it is. However, a start has been made, future programs are being developed, telescopes are being built, high precision tracking systems.
And already now we can talk about the successful results of this work, which made it possible to predict the time and place of the fall of a space object before its entry into the Earth's atmosphere.
October 6, 2006 telescope "Catalina sky review", located in Arizona, USA, an asteroid approaching Earth was detected 2008 TS3. Thanks to the data obtained, appropriate calculations were made, which made it possible to accurately determine the time and place of the asteroid's fall: a space object with a diameter of 4 meters fell through 19 hours after being discovered in the north of Sudan, in the Nubian desert. If the asteroid had chosen a large city as the site of impact, 19 hours could have been enough to evacuate residential areas at the alleged impact site.
Another question is what humanity is capable of countering the threat from the sky, provided early recognition? Now, in fact, nothing. However, intensive work is underway to develop potential options for repelling the threat, among which one can mention the detonation of a nuclear explosive device (the topic is disclosed in the blockbuster "Armageddon"), the so-called kinetic ram (a huge artificial object crashing into a small asteroid), an asteroid gravitational tug, focused solar energy, an electromagnetic catapult, and a number of other options.
Fallen asteroids
Why couldn't they detect the Chelyabinsk meteorite before it entered the atmosphere?
September 1This year, NASA specialists observed the approach of the largest space object in the history of observations - asteroid (3122) Florence. The fall of this object on the surface of our planet would hardly have left at least some chance for its inhabitants.
However, Florence passed at a distance of about 7 million kilometers from the earth. It is reported that today it is possible to observe asteroids with a diameter up to 10 meters. Why, then, did the approach of the famous Chelyabinsk meteorite, whose diameter was, according to various estimates, from 17 to 20 meters?